The big changes that are visiting Wales' electoral map and why they're happening

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Shereen Williams MBE OStJ is secretary towards the Boundary Commission for Wales

The Boundary Commission for England (BCE) published their initial proposals for parliamentary constituency changes on June 21 and it probably will not surprise you to definitely read that people in the Boundary Commission for Wales were built with a few telephone calls on that day asking where our proposals were.

We'll be publishing ours in September. BCE's option to publish sooner than the Commissions for Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland is basically dependent on preference. We all wanted to avoid publishing over the UK parliament's summer recess so that MPs could properly consider our proposals. England decided to publish before the recess, and the other three commissions have chosen to publish after it.

We're all trying to the same timetable ultimately and can present our final recommendations in summer 2023.

Under the English proposals, constituencies across their country is going to be altered. New constituencies will be created, plus some obviously will disappear. Within the north-east of England, over 80% of the present constituencies face changes underneath the initial proposals.

All eyes are actually turning home to Wales then once we prepare to publish our very own initial proposals for Wales' new parliamentary constituencies.

I won't give an excessive amount of away obviously however the initial proposals for England recommend significant change although England faces a rise to its number of MPs.

Wales faces a discount from 40 to 32 constituencies so I'm most likely not revealing an excessive amount of when I let you know there will be significant changes to the present map within our initial proposals.

Why are we losing eight constituencies in Wales? The Parliamentary Constituencies Act 1986 (as amended) means each nation and region from the UK is given a share from the 650 MPs based on the quantity of registered electors. That was decided through the UK parliament and isn't something this review can affect.

The Act also means that each constituency must contain between 69,724 and 77,062 voters, 5% either way of the UK average.

There is one exception to this rule in Wales – Ynys M^on usually stays outside the statutory range.

How then, will we draw a roadmap which contains eight fewer constituencies than currently exist, while ensuring that they're all within the statutory range of electors, and ensuring the constituencies make social and geographic sense?

We've got a few things to consider. These are ready in the Act and aren't ranked in almost any order worth focusing on.

The factors include – but aren't limited to – physical geography like rivers, mountains, and roads; current boundaries, be they constituency boundaries, local government boundaries, or wards within local authorities; and native ties.

Local ties is less definable, but essentially we want people to feel that they live and vote in a constituency that makes sense for them. Shared history, shared local identity, local newspaper coverage, school systems, language communities, and a whole lot, will be considered.

The Boundary Commission for Wales spends months developing the very best map of Welsh constituencies that people possibly can inside the rules set out in the process.

But crucially, these initial proposals are just the best we are able to come up with ourselves. I wish to really emphasise the name – initial proposals.

This review isn't concerning the Boundary Commission dictating to the people how the map of Welsh constituencies should look. What we'll do is present ideas to begin a conversation with you about the easiest way forward. When those proposals are published, we'll open an eight week consultation where one can inform us exactly what you consider them.

Whether you have an opinion on the entire map, or think a boundary should fall on the other side of the street, we would like you to inform us. We'll have a brand new online consultation portal to work with, featuring interactive maps and all sorts of details of our proposals. You may also email us by email or post.

Even once the consultation closes, our conversation is just just beginning. We'll consider what you've told us and publish the representations we've received. You will find the right to know what feedback we've had on our proposals, to ensure that when we change them, you'll know why we've done that.

After publishing the representations, we'll hold public hearings across Wales where one can inform us your views in person. Because of ongoing Covid uncertainty, we'll offer methods for you to have your say virtually.

We'll then publish revised proposals in line with the feedback you've given us. It is too early to tell just how much can change from your initial proposals when we get to this stage, but the trend over previous reviews continues to be that things do change quite significantly. Your views matter, and they've a real impact.

And yet, that's still not no more the journey. We'll hold another consultation period before we develop and publish our final recommendations.

After the final reports from all four Parliamentary Boundary Commissions have been submitted, the UK Government is needed to undergo the Privy Council a purchase that gives effect to all four Commissions' recommendations. Following the approval of the Order by the Privy Council, the brand new constituencies work in the next General Election.

We're going for a collaborative approach to this review. It's you who'll live, work, and vote in your new constituency, therefore it is important to us that you have your say around the form it takes.