How close the Greens, Abolish, Reform and Propel found winning a seat within the Senedd


All the votes have now been counted and the 60 Members of the Senedd who'll represent Wales within the Welsh Parliament happen to be announced.
1 / 2 of them represent Labour, which won a convincing victory within the Welsh Parliament election on Thursday.
Only three more events managed to get seats in the Senedd – the Conservatives, Plaid Cymru and also the Liberal Democrats – leaving the Green Party, Abolish the Assembly, Reform and Propel out of the mix.
But that's not to say they never a chance – saving money Party and Abolish stood the greatest possibility of winning a regional seat as well as in the South Wales East region, both fell lacking securing a seat just by over 5,000 votes.
Because of how the regional vote is calculated – using the D'Hondt method – over 100,000 people in South Wales Central region effectively left the choice to other people by voting Labour once the party didn't have chance of winning a list seat. Saving money Party were only 8,761 votes off winning a regional seat here too, so if people had used their vote tactically, then it was possible for them to gain a representative in the Senedd.
We've taken a look at the regional votes to see just how close the smaller populist parties came to wining a seat, which you can see below.
In South Wales East , the constituency seats visited Labour, who won seven seats, and also the Tories, who acquired only one seat in Monmouth.
It meant the regional vote, which is calculated proportionally, would be a contest between the Conservatives and Plaid Cymru. Plaid acquired the fourth regional seat with 15,265 votes. This compared to 9,995 votes secured by Abolish and 9,950 votes which visited the Green Party. If just 7% of the people who voted Labour in the regional seat had voted for either the Greens or Abolish instead, they would've experienced equal running to get that fourth seat.
If Ukip, Abolish and Reform all teamed up, they would've picked up the fourth seat in front of Plaid Cymru.
The Liberal Democrats were built with a tough day at the polls on Thursday, watching their vote in Wales basically collapse. They would've only won a seat in South Wales East if there have been 18 list seats up for grabs, which shows precisely how far behind these were here.
In South Wales Central , the Greens were the only real other party having a realistic chance of picking up that fourth regional seat, and they fell short by 8,761 votes. Labour took all of the constituency seats in this area, so it was impossible for them to ever win a regional seat too. Nevertheless, 102,611 people still voted Labour within the regional ballot.
Even if Ukip, Abolish and Reform all teamed up, saving money Party would've still come out in front of them.
The Green Party came the closest to obtaining a regional seat in Mid and West Wales , falling short by 5,636 votes*. This region would be a lot tougher for small parties to create inroads since the constituency seats were split between your Tories (four), Labour (one) and Plaid (three).
The Green Party polled highest from Abolish, Reform and Propel with 10,545 votes in the regional vote. Nevertheless, the Lib Dems still were able to secure much more than this with 16,181 votes and the fourth regional seat in the process.
In South Wales West , saving money Party and Abolish secured much the same numbers with 7,155 votes and 6,975 votes respectively. It meant these were both nearly 10,000 votes off obtaining your fourth regional seat.
With Labour winning all of the constituency seats in the region, it was effectively a 2 horse race between your Tories and Plaid when it came to the regional list.
For any look at exactly what the Senedd would seem like if Wales had a truly proportional electoral system, read here.
Regardless from the end result, the Welsh Green Party is celebrating its best ever performance within the Senedd elections. Overall, it finished fifth place in the constituency and fourth in the regional voting, beating its record vote be part of every constituency bar one, and in every region.
It will take heart from the fact it gained a greater vote share than the Abolish the Welsh Assembly Party nationally, despite Abolish being invited to take part in the BBC's main election debate. Abolish secured just 3.7% from the voting be part of the regional vote, when compared with 4.4% by the Green Party.
*An earlier form of this short article mistakenly said Abolish came closest in Mid and West Wales.






